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its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.6%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Some investors judge that the latest inflation scare is already fully reflected in front-end rates. A softer tone in Fed commentary or weaker follow-through in yields allows gold to rebound from oversold levels.

What it moves

Non-Energy Materials+1.0%
Technology+0.8%
10-year Treasury yield▼ down
Market volatility▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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