Possible scenario
Democrats Gain Ground
38% Chance
The late Senate Majority PAC reallocation proves well timed, reinforcing Democratic momentum in Ohio and Iowa after the group exits North Carolina. Sherrod Brown benefits from name recognition and a favorable Ohio poll, while Iowa remains highly competitive after Joni Ernst's retirement.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.2%
- Healthcare -0.1%
- Utilities +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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