Possible scenario
Bipartisan High Turnout
31% Chance
The Harris County record reflects a broader statewide increase in early voting rather than a one-sided Democratic advantage. Republicans also benefit from energized voters in suburban and rural counties, keeping statewide contests close.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.2%
- Utilities -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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