Possible scenario
Waters Consolidates Support
45% Chance
The Congressional Black Caucus endorsement stabilizes Maxine Waters' position against Sean Casten and Bill Foster. Seniority, CBC solidarity, and Waters' national profile on banking and consumer protection give her the clearest path to remain the top Democrat on House Financial Services.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.1%
Tickers
- COIN-0.5%
- HOOD-0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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