Possible scenario
Orderly Embassy Transition
45% Chance
The White House and State Department move quickly to prevent the resignation from disrupting U.S.-Greece diplomacy. A career diplomat runs the embassy while Trump’s team identifies a politically acceptable replacement.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.