Possible scenario
Demand Exceeds Supply
25% Chance
The additional seats expose more latent demand than City Hall anticipated. Families who delayed applying during the 15-month pause re-enter the system, leaving the city with a smaller but still politically damaging backlog.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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