Possible scenario
Program Proceeds Gradually
30% Chance
The administration absorbs the legal and political criticism and begins implementation through the State Department, USCIS, and resettlement contractors. Admissions are likely phased because vetting, transportation, housing, and placement capacity limit how quickly 17,500 people can be processed.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +0.2%
- Consumer Services +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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