Possible scenario
Court Challenges Slow Plan
35% Chance
Civil-rights groups, refugee agencies, and Democratic state attorneys general challenge the Afrikaner set-aside as discriminatory and inconsistent with refugee law. Courts do not necessarily terminate the program, but injunctions and document demands slow admissions and spending.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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