Possible scenario
Selloff Deepens
38% Chance
Investors focus on the design-quality concerns rather than the 132.5 billion yuan profit figure. The market increasingly treats CXMT's earnings peak as vulnerable if customers demand discounts or delay qualification of its higher-end memory products.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -1.0%
- Industrials -0.2%
Tickers
- MU-1.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.5%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.