Possible scenario
Nonenforcement Spreads
40% Chance
Florida's move becomes a template for other gun-rights jurisdictions after DOJ and ATF effectively end NFA registration for suppressors and short-barreled rifles. County prosecutors and state attorneys general in conservative states decide unregistered possession cases are no longer worth bringing.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.1%
- Industrials +0.1%
Tickers
- SWBI+2.4%
- RGR+2.0%
- AOUT+1.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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