Possible scenario
Story Fades Quickly
20% Chance
The leak gets a short burst of coverage but is overtaken by economic, abortion, crime, and turnout messaging. Voters who already dislike negative campaigning register the episode, but it does not materially change the structure of the race.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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