Possible scenario
Mitigation Deal Emerges
20% Chance
A pragmatic settlement becomes plausible if the court presses both sides to avoid further destruction and arrests. DHS could preserve the most visible trees and occupation site while maintaining the broader wall schedule through design changes or mitigation commitments.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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