Rally Fades Quickly

its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.7%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The options bet proves to be tactical rather than a durable shift in investor conviction. Recent negatives, including China’s H200 deployment ban and concerns about slowing AI infrastructure growth, reassert themselves.

What it moves

Technology−0.9%

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Rally Fades Quickly

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