Possible scenario
Donor Package Advances
45% Chance
Nepal secures a large share of the requested $5 billion through concessional loans, grants, and project-based commitments from the World Bank, Asian Development Bank, India, China, Japan, the EU, and UN agencies. The package is likely to prioritize bridges, roads, hydropower repairs, housing, and early-warning systems, limiting near-term fiscal stress.
Secondary impacts
- Non-Energy Materials +0.1%
- Industrials +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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