Possible scenario
Probe Stays Buried
30% Chance
The administration absorbs the criticism and maintains that the Collins matter was lawfully closed for insufficient evidence. Without a whistleblower, court order, or named contractor exposure, the story remains politically damaging but legally contained.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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