Possible scenario
Rainfall Intensifies Again
25% Chance
Another round of heavy rain hits the Chao Phraya basin and parts of eastern Thailand, forcing additional evacuations and extending damage to transport and light industry. The scenario remains well below a national economic crisis, but the market reaction turns more negative for Thai-exposed tourism, insurance, and industrial estate operators.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.5%
- Consumer Services -0.4%
- Industrials -0.3%
- Finance -0.2%
- Utilities -0.2%
- Technology -0.1%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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