Possible scenario
Floods Stabilize Quickly
45% Chance
Rainfall eases across Bangkok and central Thailand, allowing the Royal Thai Army, Bangkok Metropolitan Administration, and provincial authorities to complete most evacuations and reopen major roads. Damage rises modestly from the reported $327 million but remains manageable for Thailand's fiscal position and regional supply chains.
Secondary impacts
- Non-Energy Materials +0.1%
- Finance -0.1%
- Consumer Services +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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