Possible scenario
Administration Gains Ground
15% Chance
A court accepts some of the administration's procedural defenses or limits the reach of the GAO decision. This would not end the broader impoundment fight, but it would keep the $810 million cancellation alive in the near term.
Secondary impacts
- Utilities -0.4%
- Industrials -0.3%
- Business Services -0.2%
- Technology -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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