Possible scenario
Options Volatility Rises
20% Chance
The main market impact appears in derivatives rather than cash equities. Traders buy downside protection in AI names, lifting implied volatility while stock moves stay moderate.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.4%
Tickers
- CRWV-1.5%
- PLTR-1.3%
- NVDA-1.1%
- MU-0.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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