Possible scenario
Bearish Signal Spreads
35% Chance
Investors treat Michael Burry's faster-burst put strategy as a credible warning on AI valuations. The reaction is concentrated in richly valued AI infrastructure and software names rather than the whole market.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology -1.4%
Tickers
- CRWV-5.6%
- -4.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-1.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.