Possible scenario
Federal Plan Advances
25% Chance
The administration may use federal control over National Park Service land to press ahead, arguing the redesign is a lawful improvement to an existing golf facility. This outcome is plausible if the government narrows the plan enough to survive early judicial review while maintaining Trump’s core objective.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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