Possible scenario
Reform Takes Hold
45% Chance
Mamdani's administration implements the rule change with backing from the City Council, the Civilian Complaint Review Board, and the Law Department. The NYPD can continue disciplinary trials after retirement, reducing the incentive for officers to leave before a ruling.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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