Possible scenario
Raman Consolidates Lead
42% Chance
Nithya Raman uses Arnold Schwarzenegger's event to reassure donors, business figures, and civic leaders that her campaign can govern beyond her progressive base. With recent polling already showing her ahead of Karen Bass, the fundraiser helps frame Raman as the momentum candidate heading into the runoff.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.