Possible scenario
Prosecution Broadens
35% Chance
The guilty plea gives prosecutors cooperation leverage against brokers, freight forwarders, and shell-company buyers tied to the alleged $2.5 billion network. This is the most likely path because the timeline already shows indictments and arrests before the plea, suggesting investigators are moving up the chain.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.6%
Tickers
- SMCI-3.0%
- NVDA-0.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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