Possible scenario
Discovery Proceeds
30% Chance
The court allows the core defamation claims to move forward, opening discovery into Johnson's sourcing, state-of-mind, and reach. This path is plausible if the complaint pleads concrete false statements of fact rather than protected political opinion.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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