Possible scenario
Johnson Hold Persists
40% Chance
Ron Johnson maintains his objection long enough to prevent a quick Senate vote reversing the $810 million pocket rescission. The Trump administration keeps the cuts in place while arguing the GAO opinion is advisory, leaving the fight to appropriators and courts.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Business Services -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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