Possible scenario
Democratic Unity Deal
28% Chance
State and national Democrats intervene to prevent the Schor dispute from becoming a broader electability narrative. El-Sayed makes targeted outreach to Lansing, labor groups, and establishment Democrats while keeping progressive support intact.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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