Possible scenario
Collateral Risk Focus
20% Chance
Investors focus on collateral volatility, margin calls, and whether a larger BTC-backed loan market could amplify selloffs. Unlike Celsius or Genesis, the risk is more transparent and collateralized, but forced liquidations remain the central vulnerability.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.1%
- Finance -0.1%
Tickers
- MSTR-1.2%
- GLXY-0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.