Possible scenario
Permitting Slows Development
20% Chance
Environmental scrutiny and local permitting conditions slow the path from discovery to appraisal and development. This is plausible given past resistance to new Brazilian offshore and Amazon-linked exploration, even when discoveries are technically promising.
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.2%
Tickers
- PBR-2.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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