Possible scenario
Discovery Expands Risk
25% Chance
The lawsuit survives early procedural challenges and moves into discovery, forcing OpenAI to produce internal records on violent-chat detection, escalation decisions, and law-enforcement referral debates. This creates the largest near-term legal risk because internal documents could shape parallel suits in the U.S., Canada, and Europe.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.9%
- Business Services -0.4%
Tickers
- MSFT-1.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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