Possible scenario
Production Bottlenecks
20% Chance
Even with more money, the missile shortage may persist because of solid-rocket motors, seekers, energetics, skilled labor and test-range capacity. Investors distinguish between companies with near-term funded production lines and those exposed to supply-chain constraints.
Initial impacts
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.7%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.7%
Tickers
- AVAV+1.7%
- +1.0%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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