Narrow Democratic Hold

The late $1 million transfer helps Abdul El-Sayed fund turnout operations and closing-week advertising without fully redefining the race. He holds the open Michigan seat by a narrow margin, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez energizing younger and progressive voters while state Democrats keep the campaign focused on abortion, health care, and wages.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.