Possible scenario
Contained Credit Repricing
42% Chance
The selloff remains concentrated in CoreWeave and the riskiest AI infrastructure borrowers rather than becoming a broad credit event. Investors demand higher compensation for leverage, customer concentration and GPU-collateral uncertainty, but no near-term liquidity failure emerges.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.7%
- Finance -0.3%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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