Possible scenario
Follow-Through Tech Rally
42% Chance
The most likely path is modest follow-through as investors treat the eight-day semiconductor slide as technically overdone. Dip-buying returns to AI infrastructure names, but the advance remains sensitive to rates and any new demand commentary from chip suppliers.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +1.6%
- Industrials +0.2%
- Business Services +0.2%
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.2%
Tickers
- NVDA+3.1%
- AMD+2.7%
- +2.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.9%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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