Possible scenario
Powell Gains Edge
42% Chance
The CLF spending cut is interpreted as Republican triage in Nebraska's open Omaha-area House seat. Denise Powell benefits from Democratic enthusiasm, the absence of Don Bacon's incumbency advantage, and continued outside Democratic investment.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.