Possible scenario
Procurement Review Deepens
27% Chance
The earlier ICE waste finding and the acting ICE chief's recusal create an opening for disappointed bidders, congressional committees, and watchdogs to challenge the award. The contract is not necessarily cancelled, but implementation slows while DHS defends the procurement record.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services -0.4%
- Industrials -0.1%
Tickers
- CXW-3.7%
- GEO-3.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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