Evaluation Credibility Strains

The benchmark expansion runs into the same problem flagged in late September: LLM errors can undermine evaluation cascades. If researchers show that the benchmark is vulnerable to saturation, prompt leakage, or judge-model bias, Snorkel’s initiative loses some authority despite the larger funding pool.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.