Possible scenario
Custody Fight Escalates
25% Chance
Prosecutors or federal authorities may argue that the bond is too low given the alleged Capitol plot and reported threats involving AIPAC. This would turn the next phase into a detention and public-safety dispute rather than a routine bond case.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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