Possible scenario
Output Trim Emerges
25% Chance
Chevron's initial denial proves technically accurate on immediate supply commitments, but follow-up reporting shows one unit is operating below normal rates. California gasoline remains tight after the earlier Chevron outage and the accelerated winter-fuel transition.
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.3%
Tickers
- CVX-0.8%
- PBF+0.5%
- PSX+0.4%
- VLO+0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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