Possible scenario
Flare Proves Routine
55% Chance
Chevron's denial holds up and the El Segundo flare is treated as a routine safety event rather than a production outage. California wholesale gasoline prices give back part of the prior outage premium as traders conclude refinery runs are intact after the winter-grade fuel switch.
Tickers
- CVX+0.2%
- PSX-0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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