Possible scenario
Execution Proceeds
45% Chance
The most likely outcome is that the Army completes the scheduled execution after final emergency litigation fails. Hasan has been on military death row since 2013, and President Trump’s approval sharply reduces the chance of an internal executive reversal.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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