Possible scenario
Courts Delay Execution
30% Chance
A court could halt the execution to examine the firing-squad protocol, military death-penalty procedures, or constitutional claims. This is a realistic outcome because the United States has not carried out a military execution since 1961, making the process legally unusual.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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