Possible scenario
Kotek Clear Win
24% Chance
The Lean D shift proves conservative, and Kotek converts the recent Democratic likely-voter lead into a clearer victory. Drazan's earlier polling advantage fades as Democratic turnout and suburban consolidation improve.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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