Possible scenario
Claim Proves Overstated
35% Chance
Iran's claim is partly propaganda, with some terminals jammed or geolocated but not a nationwide disablement. Activists, diaspora groups, and technical researchers show that a limited number of Starlink links remain active through relocation, shielding, or intermittent use.
Secondary impacts
- Telecommunications +0.2%
- Technology +0.1%
Tickers
- SPCX+2.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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