Possible scenario
Contained Minnesota Cases
45% Chance
Minnesota prosecutors and election officials treat the indictments as a narrow criminal matter involving individual noncitizens rather than evidence of a larger voting scheme. Secretary of State Steve Simon and county election administrators emphasize that the number of charged ballots is too small to alter certified outcomes.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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