Possible scenario
Ramaswamy comeback
25% Chance
Ramaswamy overcomes the current polling deficit through higher Republican turnout, late undecided movement, and a nationalized closing message. This would represent a modest polling miss rather than a major political shock, given the race was rated toss-up only days earlier.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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