Possible scenario
Acton clear victory
45% Chance
Amy Acton converts her polling lead and DDHQ's Lean Democratic rating into a clear general-election win. The most likely path is a durable suburban advantage around Columbus, Cleveland, Cincinnati, and Dayton while Ramaswamy fails to fully recover among moderates.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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