Possible scenario
Federal Contract Fallout
25% Chance
Congress and the Pentagon treat the exposure of Defense Department-linked medical records as a procurement and national-security failure. Oracle remains a major federal vendor, but new work under health and defense programs is paused pending security certification.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -1.5%
- Industrials -0.4%
- Business Services +0.2%
Tickers
- ORCL-8.5%
- LDOS+1.7%
- GD+0.6%
- +0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.7%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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