Possible scenario
New York Blocks
30% Chance
New York state agencies and environmental groups move quickly to challenge the revived project, arguing that federal funding does not override state water-quality authority. This largely repeats the 2016-2020 pattern in which state permitting and litigation stopped the pipeline despite federal support.
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.5%
- Utilities -0.2%
Tickers
- WMB-2.2%
- BX-0.2%
- DUK-0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.