Recount And Delay
−0.4%
The mixed polling proves accurate and the race lands inside recount territory. The main near-term effect is political uncertainty rather than a clear policy repricing.
What it moves
- Finance−0.1%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.